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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $45
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $783
tr/day 7.7
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 24%
Kalshi 88%
active 9d
bet $318
tr/day 0.8
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 12d
bet $177
tr/day 0.7
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 80/71/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 6d
−$41 ·10🔓
ROI -8%
Net -16%
16005
0x81e7…60e4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $812
tr/day 0.1
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 12d
16006
0x9030…b4b3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $690
tr/day 0.2
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 12d
16007
0xcec9…15f1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $799
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 12d
16008
0x7cdb…2e9d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $670
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 12d
16009
0xbec7…4853
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $526
tr/day 0.5
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 5%
Kalshi 96%
active 12d
16010
0xda14…0bed
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $962
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 12d
16011
0x76fc…5095
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $800
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 12d
bet $96
tr/day 0.6
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 1d
16013
0x9c42…b792
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $166
tr/day 30.6
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 53/41/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$362 ·3🔓
ROI -13%
Net -33%
bet $54
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
16015
0xbf76…b72b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $575
tr/day 0.0
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 12d
bet $279
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/29/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $403
tr/day 0.2
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/—/23
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 11d
bet $216
tr/day 1.0
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 80/26/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
−$6K ·1🔓
ROI -12%
Net -20%
bet $76
tr/day 1.0
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 59/58/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$335 ·2🔓
ROI -4%
Net -13%
bet $476
tr/day 0.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/67/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 11d
bet $306
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
16022
0xcbf4…8998
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche weather
bet $568
tr/day 1.6
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all 100/83/74
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$469 ·2🔓
ROI +26%
Net +9%
bet $81
tr/day 3.7
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/78/78
draw 64%
Kalshi 98%
active 11d
bet $12
tr/day 3.1
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all 54/47/39
draw 70%
Kalshi 85%
active 4d
16025
0x9e72…99c4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $4,183
tr/day 0.9
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 75/50/54
draw 94%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
+$11K ·3🔓
ROI -11%
Net -27%
16026
0xffb0…fa37
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche world
bet $1,015
tr/day 22.8
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 7%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
—
+$33K ·29🔓
ROI +21%
Net -11%
16027
0xfb7e…4ea1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $585
tr/day 0.5
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/80/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $249
tr/day 2.7
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/36/36
draw 3%
Kalshi 96%
active 12d
16029
0xf0af…09a3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $624
tr/day 0.9
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 59%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
bet $487
tr/day 1.0
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 22%
Kalshi 99%
active 12d
+$213 ·2🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
bet $235
tr/day 0.4
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
bet $66
tr/day 0.7
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/97
draw 2%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $224
tr/day 0.5
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/20/28
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 12d
bet $347
tr/day 0.3
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all —/12/19
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 3d
bet $90
tr/day 0.6
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 1d
bet $254
tr/day 0.4
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/12/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 3d
bet $449
tr/day 0.3
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/31
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 0d
bet $141
tr/day 0.1
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 2d
−$119 ·1🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $295
tr/day 2.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all 83/96/95
draw 65%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
+$168 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -11%
bet $21
tr/day 0.2
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/100/80
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.2
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/100/86
draw 4%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $334
tr/day 0.5
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
bet $142
tr/day 0.2
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 12d
bet $260
tr/day 0.6
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/17/27
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $246
tr/day 0.6
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 3d
bet $249
tr/day 0.6
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 3d
16047
0xa61b…05e5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $681
tr/day 0.5
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/69/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 9d
bet $4,311
tr/day 5.7
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/93/69
draw 36%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
+$72K ·8🔓
ROI +4%
Net -18%
bet $146
tr/day 0.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 48%
Kalshi 73%
active 12d
bet $472
tr/day 1.0
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 1d
#16001
crypto
#16002
crypto
#16003
—
other
#16004
negative
world
#16005
sports
#16006
negative
sports
#16007
sports
#16008
negative
sports
#16009
negative
crypto
#16010
negative
sports
#16011
negative
sports
#16012
negative
sports
#16013
negative
sports
#16014
crypto
#16015
other
#16016
negative
sports
#16017
negative
other
#16018
negative
sports
#16019
negative
crypto
#16020
negative
sports
#16021
world
#16022
fragile wins
weather
#16023
negative
crypto
#16024
negative
sports
#16025
negative
world
#16026
—
trap
world
#16027
negative
sports
#16028
negative
crypto
#16029
negative
crypto
#16030
negative
crypto
#16031
negative
world
#16032
negative
crypto
#16033
negative
world
#16034
negative
world
#16035
negative
sports
#16036
negative
world
#16037
negative
world
#16038
negative
crypto
#16039
negative
crypto
#16040
negative
crypto
#16041
negative
crypto
#16042
world
#16043
other
#16044
thin data
world
#16045
world
#16046
world
#16047
negative
sports
#16048
negative
weather
#16049
negative
sports
#16050
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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