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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $180
tr/day 1.2
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/53/53
draw 78%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
bet $131
tr/day 1.7
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/47/47
draw 92%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $13
tr/day 0.3
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/80/89
draw 5%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $44
tr/day 0.8
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 86/88/63
draw 56%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$281 ·1🔓
ROI +10%
Net -0%
12955
0x82a2…94ed
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $631
tr/day 1.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 36/29/45
draw 27%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
+$25K ·10🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $54
tr/day 0.6
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 88/88/46
draw 73%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
bet $32
tr/day 0.1
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 84%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $160
tr/day 2.3
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/91/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
+$331 ·15🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
bet $19
tr/day 0.2
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 14%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
12960
0xcc21…cde3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,358
tr/day 0.5
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 6%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $395
tr/day 0.6
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 52%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
bet $38
tr/day 0.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 59%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
12963
0x1c94…5931
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $501
tr/day 0.8
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 57%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
+$194 ·3🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
12964
0x68d9…bd1c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $766
tr/day 0.0
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $67
tr/day 1.4
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
12966
0xc8d1…0a2e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $662
tr/day 0.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/—/21
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
12967
0x1cac…6f43
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $675
tr/day 1.4
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 86%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $237
tr/day 1.0
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/94/98
draw 78%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
12969
0xffb3…081e
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $454
tr/day 8.6
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 67/71/71
draw 75%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $316
tr/day 0.2
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/31
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$42 ·1🔓
ROI -15%
Net -23%
bet $59
tr/day 1.1
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/59/59
draw 33%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $103
tr/day 2.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $274
tr/day 0.1
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/83/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $309
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/88
draw 1%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $203
tr/day 0.4
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/86/83
draw 29%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $18
tr/day 0.5
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 91/89/83
draw 25%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
12978
0x6d58…bfbe
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $20
tr/day 40.7
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all 87/85/85
draw 66%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $361
tr/day 0.4
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 14%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
bet $15
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/83/79
draw 88%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $380
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $356
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $87
tr/day 2.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
12984
0xc7c0…9041
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $673
tr/day 0.1
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 43%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
bet $552
tr/day 5.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 57/57/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
−$69 ·8🔓
ROI -13%
Net -25%
bet $243
tr/day 6.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/44/81
draw 44%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $23
tr/day 0.9
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 86/86/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12988
0x94f6…6e07
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $648
tr/day 0.1
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 16%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $203
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
bet $431
tr/day 0.9
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 36%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $285
tr/day 0.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 32%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $204
tr/day 0.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $68
tr/day 0.2
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 16%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 0.7
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all 91/91/84
draw 88%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $211
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $283
tr/day 0.2
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/60/63
draw 93%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12997
0x4b90…270a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,271
tr/day 0.6
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 63%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12998
0x3d0b…550e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $952
tr/day 0.5
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 80/78/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
−$10 ·10🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $99
tr/day 0.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 1%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
13000
0x668c…9ff6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $508
tr/day 0.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 82%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
#12951
negative
sports
#12952
negative
sports
#12953
negative
crypto
#12954
negative
sports
#12955
negative
crypto
#12956
negative
world
#12957
negative
economics
#12958
negative
tech
#12959
negative
crypto
#12960
negative
crypto
#12961
negative
crypto
#12962
negative
economics
#12963
negative
crypto
#12964
negative
politics
#12965
negative
sports
#12966
negative
other
#12967
negative
other
#12968
negative
other
#12969
negative
sports
#12970
negative
world
#12971
negative
world
#12972
crypto
#12973
negative
crypto
#12974
negative
other
#12975
negative
other
#12976
negative
crypto
#12977
negative
weather
#12978
negative
crypto
#12979
negative
sports
#12980
negative
world
#12981
negative
crypto
#12982
negative
crypto
#12983
—
world
#12984
negative
politics
#12985
thin data
world
#12986
negative
sports
#12987
negative
sports
#12988
negative
other
#12989
negative
other
#12990
negative
crypto
#12991
negative
crypto
#12992
negative
crypto
#12993
negative
crypto
#12994
negative
crypto
#12995
negative
crypto
#12996
negative
sports
#12997
world
#12998
negative
crypto
#12999
negative
other
#13000
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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